The Iranian Gotcha
Tue April 22nd, 2003 23:56 MSTNow that we have won the war, another is about to start. Iran (the Islamofascist government, not the people) is very unhappy that we are in Iraq. Furthermore, it has territorial designs on southern Iraq, including the oil fields and the shipping terminals.
Iran’s goal will be to drive us out of Iraq before we can create a stable government, or to undermine whatever government we are able to build. They will do this through terrorism and guerrilla warfare. They have long had agents within the Iraqi Shi’ites, especially in the south.
We are already seeing Shi’ite demonstrations that are anti-American. These are surprisingly well organized given the short time available. Iran is undoubtedly behind some or all of these.
Soon these demonstrations will cease to be peaceful. Americans may have to fight and even kill Shi’ite demonstrators. Palestinian tactics, with suicide bombers or attackers may be employed. The Islamofascists of Iran are willing to sacrifice as many of the innocent as needed (see below).
The question arises… how does the US combat this?
First, notice that we are not happy having Islamofascists running Iran. Also notice that we have troops on two sides of them, an ally on the third, and a huge Navy on their coast. Note that the Iranian people would also like to get rid of the Islamofascists. Finally, note that we are engaged in a global war of pre-emption, and Iran is already on the list.
Thus we can advise Iran that if we have too much trouble in Iraq, the Islamofascists are going to have even more trouble in Iran. Their favorite projects (nuclear weapons and missiles) will explode one night. When popular demonstrations arise against their government, those demonstrators this time will be well armed. A few mysterious deaths of leaders may occur. Sabotage may cause the government to look incompetent, triggering uprisings.
It is a high stakes game. Our goal is to transform the Arab and Persian societies so they no longer threaten us with terrorism. This is a matter of pre-emptive war, as Iraq found out. We have amazing conventional and nuclear military power at our disposal, but there are major consequences of their use. We also have significant scruples in the means that we will use.
The Islamofascists, be they Wahabis (Saudi Arabia and Al Queda), Shia (Iran), or any other form, want power. They want to transform the world to one controlled by their version of Islam. They have no conventional military power, but are trying to obtain nuclear and other unconventional power. They also have absolutely no scruples in the means that they will use, as demonstrated when former Iranian president and influential cleric Rafsanjani said,
on Dec 14, 2002:
“If a day comes when the world of Islam is duly equipped with the arms Israel has in possession, […] application of an atomic bomb would not leave any thing in Israel but the same thing would just produce damages in the Muslim world.”
Iran is an enemy, obviously willing to stop at nothing. Iran will now wage unconventional war with us in Iraq. It is time for a regime change in Iran.