Comments on: Comments on a Den Beste Article on Korea

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By: Ryan

Ryan — Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:40:51 +0000

Interesting post. You are indeed correct about air-burst weapons posing little fallout danger. They would entirely decimate artillery pieces in the vicinity of the area directly beneath the detonation. A small 10kt tactical warhead detonated at optimal airburt altitude will level a reinforced concrete structure up to 1000 feet from ground zero. It will also ignite pretty much everything igniteable (including people) within a half mile radius. Whatever artillery survives, there won’t be anyone in the vicinity to operate the pieces, unless they were all hiding in some pretty strong underground bunkers.

In a tactical nuke fight in Korea, I would think that ground burst weapons would be mostly ruled out, as North Korea’s geographical location makes fallout a difficult issue. If the wind blows to the south, hundreds of thousands die (literally) in Seoul. North and it falls in China. West isn’t too bad, though if many weapons are used, it would be. (One or two weapons would produce negligable fallout for China in a westerly wind, though it wouldn’t be politically negliable). East could affect Japan, if the winds were strong and many weapons were used.

Nukes are a weapon of very very very last resort in North Korea. Essentially, the only way it could happen would be if they were to nuke us. If they did nuke us, we’d hit them back, to be sure. But I honestly doubt we’d retaliate with tactical weapons. If Bush has the dreaded misfortune of having to pick a SNAP plan out of the playbook, I can’t imagine it’d be anything less than an all out strategic strike. North Korea would be a glass factory. It’s generally American policy that if any government uses a weapon of mass destruction against us, we will completely ahniliate that government and the country that it governed.